Freestone · Volcanic Glacial · Alaska, US

Moraine Creek

20170824-crosswinds-guideonriver-amrnps-1
Tomorrow · Not the day for it
Forecast · Tomorrow
Not the day for it
Not much stacked in your favour today. Worth an hour if you are nearby, not worth the special trip.
50% projected
Conditions on the water · Tomorrow
Proxy gauge
Level
Falling
Proxy
via Kvichak River (Iliamna outlet)
Water temp2.4°C
ClarityClearing
Weather-3°C
WindN 14 km/h
Pressure1023 hPa
Rain · recent4.8 mm
Rain · ahead0.8 mm

No gauge on this water — conditions are inferred from Kvichak River (Iliamna outlet). The trend transfers, the absolute level does not.

Water temperature for Rainbow Trout
Cool — slow
2°C est.ideal 10–18°C
0°14°28°
How to fish it · for Rainbow Trout
When
Nymphing can work through most of the day.
Where
Cover mixed depths.
Method
Start with tight-line nymphs and adjust if fish rise or drift higher.
Kit
9 ft #4 rod, floating line, 12 ft tapered leader to 4–5 lb fluoro tippet.
Why this works
Good — water clarity is right today, though water temperature could be better.
Likely species
Sub-surface · on the nymphunder the surface

Hatch predictions

Top nymph shown — see all 2 guilds as a supporter.

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Beyond the hatch · worth watchingambient prey(1)

Hatch predictions

Supporters see what else is on the menu.

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Evidence
Records-basedModerate confidence

Based on species-occurrence records, not local invertebrate surveys.

Through the year
0–3 scale · October highlighted
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
Trout seasonSeason
1
2
2
2
1
Brown DunHatch
2
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
Western Green DrakeHatch
2
2
Flav (Small Western Green Drake)Hatch
2
3
2
Mahogany DunHatch
2
2

Numbers are intensity 0 (none) to 3 (peak) — a guide, not a guarantee.

Ranked for today
Fly box · Rainbow Trout
Permits & access
Permit required — see local rules.
  • ADF&G emergency-order sensitive
  • Verify Bristol Bay special rules, any National Park/Preserve constraints, spring closure dates and artificial-only requirements
  • Salmon are ecosystem drivers, not scored targets here.
What's coming
Plan ahead
5-day outlook
Other water nearby · 3
Gallery · 2
  1. 20170824-crosswinds-guideonriver-amrnps-1
  2. Terrain map of the venue
    Terrain map
The full read · show the working · for Rainbow Trout · confidence 75%
How the 68 is built — score × weight = contribution
Temperature49 × 28%13.7
Flow80 × 22%17.6
Clarity85 × 18%15.3
Feeding Time70 × 13%9.1
Pressure75 × 7%5.3
Insect activity57 × 12%6.8
Conditions total= 68
Can you trust it?
Water temperatureair-to-water estimateestimated
Level / flowproxy via Kvichak River (Iliamna outlet)proxy
Prey activitymodelled from regional profilemodelled
What would change the calculation
Warmer water — toward the 10–18 °C ideal band — would lift the temperature score.
Directions
Seasons & zones
  • Trout 8 June → 31 October
Related guides
Booking & contacts